Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.263630 3.654679 4.078243 4.571800 5.131980 5.749007 6.481483
2024-10-06 2.813475 3.358364 3.991263 4.783482 5.752467 6.903954 8.383223
2024-10-13 2.430042 3.041773 3.790424 4.779737 6.061149 7.676205 9.883875
2024-10-20 2.138166 2.780686 3.600937 4.733893 6.272258 8.308394 11.240738
2024-10-27 1.834548 2.461327 3.289613 4.476173 6.151743 8.462239 11.939750
2024-11-03 1.679995 2.319580 3.192213 4.485460 6.379982 9.095336 13.357258
2024-11-10 1.583514 2.245190 3.175117 4.597663 6.754767 9.961596 15.200298
2024-11-17 1.477205 2.144832 3.108425 4.625274 6.998600 10.646737 16.829841
2024-11-24 1.383860 2.053880 3.045042 4.647419 7.229169 11.324417 18.511661
2024-12-01 1.300815 1.970480 2.984158 4.664406 7.447496 11.995620 20.247682
2024-12-08 1.199119 1.849683 2.854803 4.558504 7.451361 12.307695 21.389161
2024-12-15 1.123991 1.764571 2.774146 4.523126 7.566013 12.811273 22.917916
2024-12-22 1.053034 1.682763 2.695380 4.488876 7.687539 13.352827 24.610240
2024-12-29 1.032614 1.682205 2.749841 4.687043 8.237295 14.716105 28.037655
2025-01-05 0.976854 1.617979 2.691771 4.681408 8.415186 15.409524 30.230439
2025-01-12 0.919516 1.546721 2.615866 4.636184 8.513009 15.957092 32.188571
2025-01-19 0.834202 1.420980 2.435691 4.384220 8.192391 15.655263 32.317935
2025-01-26 0.796378 1.376571 2.396849 4.393278 8.379875 16.382445 34.758779
2025-02-02 0.776041 1.361986 2.410513 4.502937 8.776506 17.575024 38.388593
2025-02-09 0.745541 1.326677 2.383247 4.529920 9.005896 18.438450 41.374441
2025-02-16 0.716491 1.292077 2.354713 4.551563 9.225103 19.300449 44.469297
2025-02-23 0.688801 1.258196 2.325077 4.568165 9.434192 20.159889 47.671882
2025-03-02 0.648662 1.198032 2.240591 4.464664 9.371783 20.398776 49.345095